This paper describes an empirical equation which can be used to predict the engine condition of supersonic aircraft. The equation, which is derived from the trend analysis of JOAP data, represents the concentration of Fe particles in the engine oil. The result of the trend analysis shows that the concentration of Fe particles is a function of running time of engine oil. Meanwhile the slope of Fe concentration is a function of running time of engine. Threfore, the empirical equation was derived as $w=a(t_e).t_o+b$. However, the equation could not enough to diagnose the damaged part of engine quantitatively. To make up for the weak points of the equation, qualitative analysis was carried out. For that purpose wear debris were collected from the abnormal engine and analyzed by EDS to detect the damaged parts of engine.