Welding deformations reduce the accuracy of ship hull blocks and decrease the productivity due to correction work. Preparing an error-minimizing guide at the design stage will lead to a high quality as well as high productivity. And a precise method to predict the weld deformation is an essential part of it. This paper proposes an efficient method to predict complicated weld deformations based on the inherent strain theory combined with the finite element method. The inherent strain is determined by the highest temperature and the degree of restraint. In order to calculate the inherent strain exactly, it is considered that the degree of restraint becomes different according to the fabrication stages in real structures. A simulation of a stiffened plate shows the applicability of this method to simple ship hull blocks.