In this paper, we propose a new adaptive dissolve detection method based on the analysis of a dissolve modeling error which is the difference between an ideally modeled dissolve curve with no correlation and an actual dissolve curve including a correlation. The proposed dissolve detection method consists of two steps. First, candidate dissolve regions are extracted using the characteristics of a downward convex parabola, then each candidate region is verified based oil the dissolve modeling error. If the dissolve modeling error for a candidate region is less than a threshold defined by the target modeling error with a target correlation, the candidate region is determined as a resolve region with a lower correlation than the target correlation. The threshold is adaptively determined based on the variances between the candidate regions and the target correlation. By considering the correlation between neighbor scenes, the proposed method is able to be a semantic scene-change detector. The proposed method was tested on various types of data and its performance proved to be more accurate and reliable regardless of variation of variance of test sequences when compared with other commonly use methods.