- Bayesian Change-point Model for ARCH
- Bayesian Change-point Model for ARCH
- ㆍ 저자명
- Nam. Seung-Min,Kim. Ju-Won,Cho. Sin-Sup
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국통계학회 논문집
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2006년|13권 3호|pp.491-501 (11 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국통계학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물|ENG| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
We consider a multiple change point model with autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH). The model assumes that all or the part of the parameters in the ARCH equation change over time. The occurrence of the change points is modelled as the discrete time Markov process with unknown transition probabilities. The model is estimated by Markov chain Monte Carlo methods based on the approach of Chib (1998). Simulation is performed using a variant of perfect sampling algorithm to achieve the accuracy and efficiency. We apply the proposed model to the simulated data for verifying the usefulness of the model.