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An Adaptable Integrated Prediction System for Traffic Service of Telematics
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  • An Adaptable Integrated Prediction System for Traffic Service of Telematics
  • An Adaptable Integrated Prediction System for Traffic Service of Telematics
저자명
Cho. Mi-Gyung,Yu. Young-Jung
간행물명
International journal of maritime information and communication sciences
권/호정보
2007년|5권 2호|pp.171-176 (6 pages)
발행정보
한국정보통신학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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기타
이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

To give a guarantee a consistently high level of quality and reliability of Telematics traffic service, traffic flow forecasting is very important issue. In this paper, we proposed an adaptable integrated prediction model to predict the traffic flow in the future. Our model combines two methods, short-term prediction model and long-term prediction model with different combining coefficients to reflect current traffic condition. Short-term model uses the Kalman filtering technique to predict the future traffic conditions. And long-term model processes accumulated speed patterns which means the analysis results for all past speeds of each road by classifying the same day and the same time interval. Combining two models makes it possible to predict future traffic flow with higher accuracy over a longer time range. Many experiments showed our algorithm gives a better precise prediction than only an accumulated speed pattern that is used commonly. The result can be applied to the car navigation to support a dynamic shortest path. In addition, it can give users the travel information to avoid the traffic congestion areas.