- 위험 하에서의 외해가두리양식업 투자의사결정에 관한 연구
- ㆍ 저자명
- 김도훈,최종열,이정의,Kim. Do-Hoon,Choi. Jong-Yeol,Lee. Jung-Uie
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 水産經營論集
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2008년|39권 2호|pp.109-123 (15 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국수산경영학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
This study is aimed to establish an investment decision model for offshore aquaculture project of rock bream in Korea using a certainty equivalent method (CEM) based on the expected utility theory and to investigate its economic viability under risk and uncertainty. In the analysis with CEM, the effects of risk attitude and risk level on investment and risk premium were examined and the impacts of various risk and uncertainty factors on the investment decision were also assessed. In addition, the outcomes were compared to those evaluated by the traditional net present value (NPV) method. Results show that risk premium grew as the investors became more risk averse and uncertainty level (the variance of NPV) increased. Consequently, the certainty equivalent value was predicted to decrease from the value assessed by the traditional NPV method.