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Electricity Price Prediction Model Based on Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation
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  • Electricity Price Prediction Model Based on Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation
  • Electricity Price Prediction Model Based on Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation
저자명
Ko. Hee-Sang,Lee. Kwang-Y.,Kim. Ho-Chan
간행물명
Journal of electrical engineering & technology
권/호정보
2008년|3권 1호|pp.14-19 (6 pages)
발행정보
대한전기학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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기타
이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

The paper presents an intelligent time series model to predict uncertain electricity market price in the deregulated industry environment. Since the price of electricity in a deregulated market is very volatile, it is difficult to estimate an accurate market price using historically observed data. The parameter of an intelligent time series model is obtained based on the simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA). The SPSA is flexible to use in high dimensional systems. Since prediction models have their modeling error, an error compensator is developed as compensation. The SPSA based intelligent model is applied to predict the electricity market price in the Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland (PJM) electricity market.