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제주지역 바람자료 분석 및 풍속 예측에 관한 연구
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저자명
박윤호,김경보,허수영,이영미,허종철,Park. Yun-Ho,Kim. Kyung-Bo,Her. Soo-Young,Lee. Young-Mi,Huh. Jong-Chul
간행물명
한국태양에너지학회 논문집
권/호정보
2010년|30권 6호|pp.66-72 (7 pages)
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한국태양에너지학회
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

In this study, we analyzed the characteristics of wind speed and wind direction at different locations in Jeju area using past 10 years observed data and used them in our wind power forecasting model. Generally the strongest hourly wind speeds were observed during daytime(13KST~15KST) whilst the strongest monthly wind speeds were measured during January and February. The analysis with regards to the available wind speeds for power generation gave percentages of 83%, 67%, 65% and 59% of wind speeds over 4m/s for the locations Gosan, Sungsan, Jeju site and Seogwipo site, respectively. Consequently the most favorable periods for power generation in Jeju area are in the winter season and generally during daytime. The predicted wind speed from the forecast model was in average lower(0.7m/s) than the observed wind speed and the correlation coefficient was decreasing with longer prediction times(0.84 for 1h, 0.77 for 12h, 0.72 for 24h and 0.67 for 48h). For the 12hour prediction horizon prediction errors were about 22~23%, increased gradually up to 25~29% for 48 hours predictions.