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Dyna-CLUE 모델을 이용한 양평·여주 지역의 토지이용 변화 예측 및 평가
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  • Dyna-CLUE 모델을 이용한 양평·여주 지역의 토지이용 변화 예측 및 평가
저자명
이동근,류대호,김호걸,이상혁,Lee. DongKun,Ryu. DaeHo,Kim. HoGul,Lee. SangHouck
간행물명
環境復元綠化
권/호정보
2011년|14권 6호|pp.119-130 (12 pages)
발행정보
한국환경복원기술학회
파일정보
정기간행물|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

Land-use changes have made considerable impacts on humans and nature such as biodiversity and ecosystem services. It is recognized as important elements for land use planning and regional natural resources conservation to identify the major causes of land use changes and to predict a process of changes and effects. This study, by using a spatially explicit Dyna-CLUE model, analyzed correlations between driving factors, quantified location characteristics of different land use types using logistic regression analysis and examined future land use changes and its effects in Yangpyeong and Yeoju region. We expected land use changes based on the three scenarios with different future land demands and simulated future changes for spatial variations of land use for the 20 years. The outcomes shows that larger change was found in agricultural areas than forest areas, based on the change in built-up areas. The changes in forest areas, which were mainly occurred in edge area, were expected to affect a large impact on its ecotone. It was found to be the importance of the management of forest edge and the necessity of the environmentally sound and sustainable development in order to conserve natural resources of the region.