The scope of the problems that could be solved by monitoring and the improvement of the recognition time is directly correlated to the performance of the management function of the business process. However, the current event-managing monitoring system and the real-time advanced alarming business monitoring system decided whether to apply warnings or not by assuming a fixed environment and showing expressions based on the design rules. Therefore, there is a limit for distinguishing the range of occurrence and the level of severity in regard to the new external problems occurring in a complicated environment. Such problems cannot be abstracted. In this paper, evaluation model of business process contextual situations using goal scenario is suggested to provide constant services through the current monitoring process in regard to the service demands of the new scenario which occurs outside. The new demands based on the outside situation are analyzed according to the target scenario for the process activities. Also, a similar process model is found and identified by combining similarity and interrelationship. The process can be stopped in advance or adjusted to the wanted direction.