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Stock Price Predictability of Financial Ratios and Macroeconomic Variables: A Regulatory Perspective
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  • Stock Price Predictability of Financial Ratios and Macroeconomic Variables: A Regulatory Perspective
  • Stock Price Predictability of Financial Ratios and Macroeconomic Variables: A Regulatory Perspective
저자명
Kwag. Seung Woog,Kim. Yong Seog
간행물명
Industrial engineering & management systems : an international journal
권/호정보
2013년|12권 4호|pp.406-415 (10 pages)
발행정보
대한산업공학회
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정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

The present study examines a set of financial ratios in predicting the up or down movements of stock prices in the context of a securities law, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (SOA), controlling for macroeconomic variables. Using the logistic regression with proxy betas to alleviate the incompatibility problem between the firm-specific financial ratios and macroeconomic indicators, we report evidence that financial ratios are meaningful predictors of stock price changes, which subdue the influence of macroeconomic indicators on stock returns, and more importantly that the SOA truly improves the stock price predictability of financial ratios for the markup sample. The empirical results further suggest that industry and time effects exist and that for the markdown sample the SOA actually deteriorates the predictive power of financial ratios.