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국내 가뭄관리 기관별 PDSI 산정방법의 표준화 및 평가
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  • 국내 가뭄관리 기관별 PDSI 산정방법의 표준화 및 평가
저자명
배덕효,손경환,김현경,이주헌,이동률,안재현,김태웅,Bae. Deg-Hyo,Sohn. Kyung-Hwan,Kim. Hyun-Kyung,Lee. Joo-Heon,Lee. Dong-Ryul,Ahn. Jae-Hyun,Kim. Tae-Wo
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권/호정보
2013년|23권 4호|pp.539-547 (9 pages)
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한국기상학회
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

The objective of this study is to standardize the calculation method of Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for the three Drought Management Agencies (DMA) in south Korea, and to evaluate the PDSI applicability. For comparison and review of the method, the code and input data of PDSI are collected from each DMA. The calculation method is the same, but the used input data (number of meteorological stations, normal year period, Available Water Capacity (AWC) of the soil) are different. Through discussions with drought experts and literature review, the standardized method is determined. 61 stations which have the data period more than 30 years are selected. Also the normal year is fixed for 30 years and updated every 10 years. The observed AWC is utilized using GIS data. Empirical equation of PDSI is re-estimated according to domestic climate characteristics. For evaluating the standardized PDSI, past drought events are investigated and drought indices including the existing SPI and PDSI are used for comparative analysis. As results, although the accuracy of standardized PDSI through ROC analysis is lower than SPI, the newly standardized PDSI is better than existing PDSI from DMA, Also it reasonably explain the spatial drought situation through the spatial analysis.