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Global Warming Likely Reduces Crop Yield and Water Availability of the Dryland Cropping Systems in the U.S. Central Great Plains
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  • Global Warming Likely Reduces Crop Yield and Water Availability of the Dryland Cropping Systems in the U.S. Central Great Plains
  • Global Warming Likely Reduces Crop Yield and Water Availability of the Dryland Cropping Systems in the U.S. Central Great Plains
저자명
Ko. Jonghan,Ahuja. Lajpat R.
간행물명
Journal of crop science and biotechnology
권/호정보
2013년|16권 4호|pp.233-242 (10 pages)
발행정보
한국작물학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

We investigated the impact of GCM-projected climate change on dryland crop rotations of wheat-fallow and wheat-corn-fallow in the Central Great Plains (Akron in Colorado, USA) using the CERES 4.0 crop modules in RZWQM2. The climate change scenarios for $CO_2$, temperature, and precipitation were produced by 22 GCM projections for Colorado based on the A1B scenario. The climate change for years 2050 and 2075 was super-imposed on measured 30-year-baseline climate data (1989-2008). For all the cropping rotations and projection years, simulated yields of wheat and corn decreased significantly (P < 0.05) with increasing temperatures. The yield declines due to the elevated temperatures should be attributable to the shortening of crop maturity duration and concurrent decreases in soil water and evapotranspiration. The model was also projected to decrease crop yields for the combined climate change scenarios of $CO_2$, temperature, and precipitation in the dryland cropping rotations.