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DRINKING AS AN EPIDEMIC: A MATHEMATICAL MODEL WITH DYNAMIC BEHAVIOUR
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  • DRINKING AS AN EPIDEMIC: A MATHEMATICAL MODEL WITH DYNAMIC BEHAVIOUR
  • DRINKING AS AN EPIDEMIC: A MATHEMATICAL MODEL WITH DYNAMIC BEHAVIOUR
저자명
Sharma. Swarnali,Samanta. G.P.
간행물명
Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
권/호정보
2013년|31권 1호|pp.1-25 (25 pages)
발행정보
한국전산응용수학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

In this paper we have developed a mathematical model of alcohol abuse. It consists of four compartments corresponding to four population classes, namely, moderate and occasional drinkers, heavy drinkers, drinkers in treatment and temporarily recovered class. Basic reproduction number $R_0$ has been determined. Sensitivity analysis of $R_0$ identifies ${eta}_1$, the transmission coefficient from moderate and occasional drinker to heavy drinker, as the most useful parameter to target for the reduction of $R_0$. The model is locally asymptotically stable at disease free or problem free equilibrium (DFE) $E_0$ when $R_0$ < 1. It is found that, when $R_0$ = 1, a backward bifurcation can occur and when $R_0$ > 1, the endemic equilibrium $E^*$ becomes stable. Further analysis gives the global asymptotic stability of DFE. Our aim of this analysis is to identify the parameters of interest for further study with a view for informing and assisting policy-makers in targeting prevention and treatment resources for maximum effectiveness.