- 미래 기후변화에 따른 제주도의 사면과 해발고도별 가뭄 예측
- ㆍ 저자명
- 박종철,최광준,송성호,Park. Jong-Chul,Choi. Kwang-Jun,Song. Sung-Ho
- ㆍ 간행물명
- Journal of environmental science international
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2014년|23권 4호|pp.649-660 (12 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국환경과학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation and temperature occur with regard to aspect and elevation of Mt. Halla in Jeju Island. Therefore, there is a need to predict regional drought associate with them to mitigate of impacts of drought. In this study, regional drought is predicted based on Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) using future (2015~2044) climate change scenario RCP (representative concentration pathways) 4.5 classified as 24 regions according to aspect and elevation. The results show that number and duration of drought will be decrease in Jeju Island. However, severity of severe drought will be increase in western and northern aspect with under 200 meters above mean sea level. These findings provide primary information for developing the proactive strategies to mitigate impacts of drought by future climate change in Jeju Island.