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서지반출
Application of Constrained Bayes Estimation under Balanced Loss Function in Insurance Pricing
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  • Application of Constrained Bayes Estimation under Balanced Loss Function in Insurance Pricing
  • Application of Constrained Bayes Estimation under Balanced Loss Function in Insurance Pricing
저자명
Kim. Myung Joon,Kim. Yeong-Hwa
간행물명
Communications for statistical applications and methods
권/호정보
2014년|21권 3호|pp.235-243 (9 pages)
발행정보
한국통계학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

Constrained Bayesian estimates overcome the over shrinkness toward the mean which usual Bayes and empirical Bayes estimates produce by matching first and second empirical moments; subsequently, a constrained Bayes estimate is recommended to use in case the research objective is to produce a histogram of the estimates considering the location and dispersion. The well-known squared error loss function exclusively emphasizes the precision of estimation and may lead to biased estimators. Thus, the balanced loss function is suggested to reflect both goodness of fit and precision of estimation. In insurance pricing, the accurate location estimates of risk and also dispersion estimates of each risk group should be considered under proper loss function. In this paper, by applying these two ideas, the benefit of the constrained Bayes estimates and balanced loss function will be discussed; in addition, application effectiveness will be proved through an analysis of real insurance accident data.