- 영향요인 시스템 모델을 이용한 건설공사비지수 예측 기법
- ㆍ 저자명
- 이규진,Yi. Kyoo-Jin
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 大韓建築學會論文集 : Journal of the architectural institute of Korea : Structure & construction / 構造系
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2014년|30권 6호|pp.83-90 (8 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 대한건축학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Construction projects typically require extensive periods for the completion and there are usually considerable time gap between cost estimation and project completion. It is essential to accurately predict construction costs in order to effectively estimate costs for construction projects. In the construction industry, construction cost indices (CCI) are useful in explaining the trend of construction cost variation. CCI are recorded and announced periodically and are influence by many other related factors such as price indices and business indices. Understanding the influencing relationship will help predicting future values of CCI and incorporating such understanding and prediction into estimating will help practitioners manage construction costs. This paper adopted system dynamics modeling methods and proposes CCI prediction model by incorporating influencing factors as model variables. Comparing the simulated results by the proposed model and the real values of CCIs verifies that the proposed model provides the future CCI values with sufficient statistical significance.