- ZAM을 이용한 국내 회전교차로 오토바이 사고모형
- ㆍ 저자명
- 박병호,임진강,나희,Park. Byung Ho,Lim. Jin Kang,Na. Hee
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국안전학회지
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2014년|29권 3호|pp.107-113 (7 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국안전학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
The goal of this study is to develop the accident models of motorcycle at roundabouts. In the pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to developing the appropriate models using ZAM. The main results are as follows. First, the evaluation of various developed models by the Vuong statistic and over-dispersion parameter shows that ZINB is analyzed to be optimal among Poisson, NB, ZIP(zero-inflated Poisson) and ZINB regression models. Second, the traffic volume, width of central island and width of approach are evaluated to be important variables to the accidents. Finally, the common variables that affect to the accident are selected to be traffic volume and width of approach. This study might be expected to give some implications to the accident research on the roundabout by motorcycle.