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Prediction of Wind Power by Chaos and BP Artificial Neural Networks Approach Based on Genetic Algorithm
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  • Prediction of Wind Power by Chaos and BP Artificial Neural Networks Approach Based on Genetic Algorithm
  • Prediction of Wind Power by Chaos and BP Artificial Neural Networks Approach Based on Genetic Algorithm
저자명
Huang. Dai-Zheng,Gong. Ren-Xi,Gong. Shu
간행물명
Journal of electrical engineering & technology
권/호정보
2015년|10권 1호|pp.41-46 (6 pages)
발행정보
대한전기학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

It is very important to make accurate forecast of wind power because of its indispensable requirement for power system stable operation. The research is to predict wind power by chaos and BP artificial neural networks (CBPANNs) method based on genetic algorithm, and to evaluate feasibility of the method of predicting wind power. A description of the method is performed. Firstly, a calculation of the largest Lyapunov exponent of the time series of wind power and a judgment of whether wind power has chaotic behavior are made. Secondly, phase space of the time series is reconstructed. Finally, the prediction model is constructed based on the best embedding dimension and best delay time to approximate the uncertain function by which the wind power is forecasted. And then an optimization of the weights and thresholds of the model is conducted by genetic algorithm (GA). And a simulation of the method and an evaluation of its effectiveness are performed. The results show that the proposed method has more accuracy than that of BP artificial neural networks (BP-ANNs).