- Strengthening North Pacific Cooperation
- ㆍ 저자명
- CharlesE.Morrison,MarcusNol,eds.
- ㆍ 간행물명
- KIEP 연구보고서
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2015년|pp.1-376 (376 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 대외경제정책연구원|한국
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 기타|KOR| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 사회과학
KIEP와 하와이 EWC(East-West Center)는 '2014 Korea Dialogue Conference on Strengthening North Pacific Cooperation' 주제하에 국제세미나를 공동개최한 바 있으며, 한․중․일․미 4개국 전문가들이 모여 북태평양 지역 국가의 거시경제와 경제통합의 현황 및 전망에 대해 토론하고, 북한 이슈에 대해 논의함으로써 지역경제의 안정과 발전을 위한 다각적 협력방안을 모색하였습니다.
The conference was held on July 25, 2014 co-organized by the Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP) and East-West Center (EWC) in Honolulu. The key factors of the conference was to shape the economic future of the major North Pacific countries and the importance of economic cooperation among them. Major topics to be addressed were (1) the macroeconomic performances and outlooks of China, the United States, Korea, and Japan, and the interrelationship among them, (2) the emerging multilateral economic architecture and its implications, with specific reference to the TPP, the RCEP, and China-Japan-Korea free trade prospects, and (3) the future of the North Korean economy and its implications for North Pacific cooperation. The main sessions of the conference covered ‘Prospects for the region’s economies’, ‘Pathways toward trade and investment integration in the North Pacific region’, ‘Assessing economic and social change in North Korea’.
Introduction and Overview Affiliations of the Contributors Keynote Address Are Mega Free Trade Agreements the Best Alternative for Advancing Global Trade Liberalization? / Cae-One Kim Session 1 Prospects for the Region’s Economies Assessing Macroeconomic Policies in the US in Response to the Great Recession / David J. Stockton Introduction Key Characteristics of the Recession and Recovery The Response of Monetary and Fiscal Policies Prospects for US Macroeconomic Policies and the Implications for the Economy Risks to the US Outlook and the Implications for the North Pacific Economies Conclusions Challenges and Opportunities in China’s Economy / Wang Yijiang Introduction Economic Challenges for China New Opportunities Concluding Remarks Abenomics and Beyond: The Japanese Economy in the 2010s / Tokuo Iwaisako Introduction Brief Chronology of Abenomics Japan’s Macroeconomic Performance under Abenomics Potential Dangers for Abenomics Conclusion Prospects of the Korean Economy / Il Houng Lee and Seongman Moon Introduction Searching for Lost Economic Growth in Korea Reasons for the Decline in Domestic Demand Growth Conclusion Commentary: Prospects for the Region’s Economies: Discussion on Session 1 Papers / Sang-Hyop Lee Report of the Session Rapporteur: Prospects for the Region’s Economies: Overview by Session Rapporteur / Michael G. Plummer Session 2 Pathways toward Trade and Investment Integration in the North Pacific Region The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) as a Pathway to Asian Integration / Deborah Elms The Goal: Free-Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific (FTAAP) Two of Four Pathways in Play The Launch of the TPP Specific Benefits of the TPP: Market Access for Goods Additional TPP Provisions Last-Minute Shaving of Quality? TPP Timelines TPP Institutional Framework Trade and Investment Diversion Coming Circling Back to the FTAAP The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP): Design, Status, and Challenges / Zhang Jianping and Nie Wei Status of RCEP Negotiations Dilemma of RCEP Negotiations Compared with TPP, Is RCEP More Welcomed by Developing Economies in the Asia‑Pacific Region? Challenges of the RCEP under the Framework of Five “10+1” FTAs General Perceptions or Concerns about FTAs in China Implications of RCEP for FTAAP Proposals Implications of the RCEP for the North Pacific Economies Conclusion China–Japan–Korea Free Trade Agreement (CJK FTA): Design, Status, and Challenges / Dukgeun Ahn State of the Play of the CJK FTA CJK Trade and Economic Assessment Result Mega FTA Competition and CJK FTA Issues for Negotiation Challenges Ahead Commentaries: Pathways toward Trade and Investment Integration in the North Pacific Region: Comments / Kiyoun Sohn Pathways toward Trade and Investment Integration in the North Pacific Region: Discussion of Papers Presented in Session 2 / Michael G. Plummer Report of the Session Rapporteur: Pathways toward Trade and Investment Integration in the North Pacific Region: Overview by Session 2 Rapporteur / Theresa M. Greaney Session 3 Assessing Economic and Social Change in North Korea Can North Korea Follow China’s Path of Reform and Open Door Policy? / Zhou Huji China’s National Security, the Transformation of Political Concept and Open Door Policy Kim Jong Il’s Political Ideas and Survival Strategy “Songun Politics”: One of the Political Survival Strategies Improved Leader Worship: One of the Political Survival Strategies “7.1 Measures”: Economic Survival Strategies Nuclear Development and Asymmetric Dampening: International Survival Strategy Survival and Emerging from the Crisis: Conclusion and Discussion Economic Developments in North Korea / Marcus Nolan Introduction Internal Developments External Relations Illicit Activities Conclusions The Current Situation and Future Prospects of the North Korean Economy / Dongho Jo Introduction The Current Situation The Reaction of the North Korean Leadership The Future Prospects Commentaries: Assessing Economic and Social Change in North Korea: Discussion on Session 3 Papers / Hyung-Gon Jeong Assessing the Economic and Social Change in North Korea: Discussion on Session 3 Papers / Nicholas Eberstadt Report of the Session Rapporteur: Assessing Economic and Social Change in North Korea: Overview by Session 3 Rapporteur / Anjali Nath Roundtable Discussion on Strengthening North Pacific Cooperation North Pacific Integration from an International Financial Perspective / Hiroyuki Ito Introduction Interest Rates Linkages and Their Implications on Monetary Policy Management “Internationalization” of the Renminbi Conclusion Comments Based on the Roundtable Discussion / Tokuo Iwaisako Comments Based on the Roundtable Discussion / Jong Seok Kim “The Asian Paradox” The Limits of Bilateral Talks The Need for Multilateral Dialogs Soft Issues Harmony in Diversity Comments Based on the Roundtable Discussion / David J. Stockton The Global Influences of Half of the World: Comments on North Pacific Cooperation / Wang Yijiang Report of the Session Rapporteur Strengthening North Pacific Cooperation: Overview by Roundtable Rapporteur / Duyen Bui Conference Program Program List of Participants