< 차례 >

Ⅰ. 서론 ··············································································································· 1
Ⅱ. 학생수 추계의 개념과 시계열 자료 분석 ····················································· 2
Ⅲ. 학생수 추계 방법의 한계 및 개선안 ·························································· 11
Ⅳ. 개선안의 적용과 검증: 경기도 초등 학생수 추계 사례 ···························· 23
Ⅴ. 결론 ············································································································· 29