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Detection of Suicide Attempters among Suicide Ideators Using Machine Learning
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  • Detection of Suicide Attempters among Suicide Ideators Using Machine Learning
저자명
Seunghyong Ryu, Hyeongrae Lee, Dong-Kyun Lee, Sung-Wan Kim, Chul-Eung Kim
간행물명
Psychiatry InvestigationKCI,SCIE,SSCI,SCOPUS
권/호정보
2019년|16권 8호|pp.588-593 (6 pages)
발행정보
대한신경정신의학회|한국
파일정보
정기간행물|KOR|
PDF텍스트(0.31MB)
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국문초록

Objective: We aimed to develop predictive models to identify suicide attempters among individuals with suicide ideation using a machine learning algorithm. Methods: Among 35,116 individuals aged over 19 years from the Korea National Health & Nutrition Examination Survey, we selected 5,773 subjects who reported experiencing suicide ideation and had answered a survey question about suicide attempts. Then, we performed resampling with the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling TEchnique (SMOTE) to obtain data corresponding to 1,324 suicide attempters and 1,330 non-suicide attempters. We randomly assigned the samples to a training set (n=1,858) and a test set (n=796). In the training set, random forest models were trained with features selected through recursive feature elimination with 10-fold cross validation. Subsequently, the fitted model was used to predict suicide attempters in the test set. Results: In the test set, the prediction model achieved very good performance [area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)=0.947] with an accuracy of 88.9%. Conclusion: Our results suggest that a machine learning approach can enable the prediction of individuals at high risk of suicide through the integrated analysis of various suicide risk factors.

목차

INTRODUCTION
METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION

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