- 아열대채소의 소비량과 필요재배면적 전망
- ㆍ 저자명
- 이홍진,김성용,김윤식,전상곤,Lee. Hong-Jin,Kim. Sung-Yong,Kim. Yun-Sik,Jeon. Sang-Gon
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 농업과학연구
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2013년|40권 4호|pp.425-434 (10 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 충남대학교 농업과학연구소
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Nowadays, the korean peninsula has endured weather changes toward to the subtropical climate. Also demographical structure has changed into multi-cultural society in which many people from subtropical areas have immigrated into Korea. Therefore, consumption and production of subtropical vegetables become important. For the analysis, we choose eight important subtropical crops. EDM (Equilibrium Displacement Model) with many parameters and elasticities is used for the forecast of consumption and required cultivation area. The simulation focuses on the changes of the number of foreign workers and immigrated women in Korea to predict the quantity of consumption and required area in Korea. The results show that we need additional land area about 581~1,065 ha for the cropping subtropical vegetables in Korea. Finally, these required area can be provided by the cities and counties in coast area in Gyeongsangnam-Do, Jeonranam-Do and Jeju-Do. Climate change will be continued in the future. Together with climate change, the change of demographical structure into multi-culture may increase consumption and production of subtropical vegetables. Forecasting of increased consumption and required cultivation area for subtropical vegetables is significant.