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AWS자료 기반 SVR과 뉴로-퍼지 알고리즘 구현 호우주의보 가이던스 연구
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  • AWS자료 기반 SVR과 뉴로-퍼지 알고리즘 구현 호우주의보 가이던스 연구
저자명
임승준,오성권,김용혁,이용희,Kim. Hyun-Myung,Oh. Sung-Kwun,Kim. Yong-Hyuk,Lee. Yong-Hee
간행물명
전기학회논문지= The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
권/호정보
2014년|63권 4호|pp.526-533 (8 pages)
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대한전기학회
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

In this study, we introduce design methodology to develop a guidance for issuing heavy rainfall warning by using both RBFNNs(Radial basis function neural networks) and SVR(Support vector regression) model, and then carry out the comparative studies between two pattern classifiers. Individual classifiers are designed as architecture realized with the aid of optimization and pre-processing algorithm. Because the predictive performance of the existing heavy rainfall forecast system is commonly affected from diverse processing techniques of meteorological data, under-sampling method as the pre-processing method of input data is used, and also data discretization and feature extraction method for SVR and FCM clustering and PSO method for RBFNNs are exploited respectively. The observed data, AWS(Automatic weather wtation), supplied from KMA(korea meteorological administration), is used for training and testing of the proposed classifiers. The proposed classifiers offer the related information to issue a heavy rain warning in advance before 1 to 3 hours by using the selected meteorological data and the cumulated precipitation amount accumulated for 1 to 12 hours from AWS data. For performance evaluation of each classifier, ETS(Equitable Threat Score) method is used as standard verification method for predictive ability. Through the comparative studies of two classifiers, neuro-fuzzy method is effectively used for improved performance and to show stable predictive result of guidance to issue heavy rainfall warning.